PENGARUH PERANG DAGANG AMERIKA SERIKAT–TIONGKOK TERHADAP PEREKONOMIAN INDONESIA DAN GLOBAL

Abstract

The trade war between the United States and China since 2018 has generated systemic impacts on the global economy. Reciprocal tariff policies implemented by both countries have not only disrupted international trade flows but also increased global economic uncertainty, affecting developing countries such as Indonesia. This article aims to analyze the impact of the US–China trade war on the global economy and its implications for Indonesia. This research employs a normative legal research method with an international political economy approach, based on literature review of international institutional reports, national statistical data, and relevant academic studies. The findings indicate that the trade war has slowed global trade, disrupted global supply chains, increased exchange rate volatility, and reshaped foreign investment patterns. For Indonesia, the trade war has led to declining export performance in certain commodities, pressure on the rupiah, while simultaneously creating opportunities for market diversification and industrial relocation. The study highlights the importance of adaptive and resilience-based national economic policies in responding to global economic conflicts.